2015 P1 Registration Balloting Risk

 

We have updated the balloting risk for each school for the 2015 Primary One Registration Exercise.  This is based on the historical applications and balloting events that happened in the schools for the last 9 years.  The table also reflects the most popular schools in Singapore.

Reading the table

The purpose of this table is to provide parents with a quick, summarized view of our detailed Primary One Registration history data.

Balloting risk for each Phase is computed based on the weighted average of the number of applicants in the stage multiplied by the type of balloting event for that stage.  The latest event (ie. 2014) has the highest weightage, followed by 2013, … and so on.  The number is then built into an index ranging from 0.0 to 1.0, where 1.0 represents the school with the greatest balloting risk for the Phase and 0.0 means no risk of balloting at all in the Phase.

The chart is sorted according to the overall balloting risk, which is again weighted such that Phase 2C(S) has the highest weightage, then to Phase 2C, 2B, and finally 2A.  Schools with no vacancies left for Phase 2C(S) are given the highest risk value of 1.0, and marked with a “-“.

We hope that parents will use this chart wisely in planning their strategy for choosing schools.  Schools which are very high up the list are clearly out of reach for parents who can only apply in Phase 2C.  If you still want to try for these schools, make sure you have an alternative school that you are comfortable with applying in Phase 2C(S), and check if the balloting risk for that alternative school in Phase 2C(S) is high.  It is probably better to simply apply in the alternative school in Phase 2C instead of wasting your Phase 2C chance by gambling in one of the hot schools.

School 2015 Balloting Risk
  2A 2B 2C 2CS Overall
Nan Hua Primary 1.00 0.73 0.96 0.93
CHIJ St Nicholas Girls’ 0.95 0.96 0.60 0.87
Ai Tong 0.00 1.00 0.78 0.84
Rulang Primary 0.00 0.41 1.00 0.78
Catholic High 0.00 0.90 0.67 0.78
Rosyth 0.00 0.53 0.91 0.78
Nan Chiau Primary 0.00 0.58 0.80 0.76
Henry Park Primary 0.97 0.27 0.66 0.75
Red Swastika 0.00 0.32 0.76 0.69
Yu Neng Primary 1.00 0.14 0.55 0.69
St Hilda’s Primary 0.00 0.47 0.65 0.69
Fairfield Methodist Primary 0.00 0.67 0.50 0.68
Kong Hwa 0.00 0.67 0.48 0.68
Tao Nan 0.00 0.78 0.40 0.68
Radin Mas Primary 0.93 0.20 0.47 0.67
Methodist Girls’ School (Primary) 0.00 0.75 0.36 0.66
Nanyang Primary 0.00 0.57 0.41 0.64
Pei Chun Public 0.00 0.44 0.47 0.63
Anglo-Chinese School (Primary) 0.00 0.59 0.37 0.63
Hong Wen 0.00 0.48 0.42 0.62
South View Primary 0.00 0.07 0.67 0.61
Chongfu Primary 0.00 0.37 0.43 0.60
Temasek Primary 0.00 0.19 0.55 0.60
Singapore Chinese Girls’ Primary 0.00 0.32 0.41 0.59
CHIJ Primary (Toa Payoh) 0.00 0.44 0.32 0.58
Mee Toh 0.00 0.09 0.54 0.58
Holy Innocents’ Primary 0.00 0.33 0.38 0.58
Northland Primary 0.00 0.04 0.55 0.57
St Joseph’s Institution Junior 0.00 0.41 0.30 0.57
Maha Bodhi 0.00 0.29 0.38 0.57
Anglo-Chinese School (Junior) 0.00 0.42 0.29 0.57
Canberra Primary 0.00 0.16 0.45 0.57
Pei Hwa Presbyterian Primary 0.00 0.28 0.37 0.57
Rivervale Primary 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.57
Pasir Ris Primary 0.00 0.15 0.44 0.56
St Andrew’s Junior 0.00 0.34 0.29 0.56
West Grove Primary 0.00 0.06 0.46 0.55
Maris Stella High 0.00 0.24 0.24 0.52
Anderson Primary 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.52
Bukit Panjang Primary 0.00 0.04 0.37 0.52
Hougang Primary 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.52
Chongzheng Primary 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.51
Shuqun Primary 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.51
Princess Elizabeth Primary 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.51
Gongshang Primary 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.51
De La Salle 0.00 0.03 0.33 0.50
Admiralty Primary 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.50
Keming Primary 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.50
Paya Lebar Methodist Girls’ 0.00 0.05 0.28 0.49
Endeavour Primary 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.49
White Sands Primary 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.49
River Valley Primary 0.00 0.08 0.25 0.49
St Anthony’s Primary 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.49
Xinmin Primary 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.49
Jiemin Primary 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.49
Compassvale Primary 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.49
Evergreen Primary 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.49
Poi Ching 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.48
Frontier Primary 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.48
Raffles Girls’ Primary 0.00 0.02 0.27 0.48
Zhangde Primary 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.48
Kuo Chuan Presbyterian Primary 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.47
CHIJ Our Lady of the Nativity 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.46
Westwood Primary 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.46
St Margaret’s Primary 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.45
Sengkang Green Primary 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.44
St Stephen’s 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.44
Fuchun Primary 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.44
Alexandra Primary 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.44
Punggol View Primary 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.43
Concord Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.40
Xingnan Primary 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.97 0.39
Zhenghua Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.38
Tanjong Katong Primary 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.88 0.36
Bedok Green Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.34
Marymount Convent 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.34
Woodlands Ring Primary 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.72 0.30
Ngee Ann Primary 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.64 0.30
North View Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.29
Edgefield Primary 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.57 0.25
Qifa Primary 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.52 0.22
Unity Primary 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.44 0.22
Jurong West Primary 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.31 0.20
Clementi Primary 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.45 0.20
Tampines Primary 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.43 0.20
Pei Tong Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.19
Opera Estate Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.18
Woodlands Primary 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.40 0.17
CHIJ Our Lady Queen of Peace 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.38 0.17
Yew Tee Primary 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.28 0.16
St Anthony’s Canossian Primary 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.39 0.16
Fengshan Primary 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.17 0.15
Chua Chu Kang Primary 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.28 0.15
CHIJ Our Lady of Good Counsel 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.24 0.14
Punggol Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.14
Yishun Primary 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.34 0.14
CHIJ (Kellock) 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.28 0.14
North Vista Primary 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.22 0.14
Wellington Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.13
Haig Girls’ 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.28 0.13
Woodgrove Primary 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.18 0.13
Innova Primary 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.02 0.13
Corporation Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.12
East Spring Primary 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.18 0.12
Cedar Primary 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.11
Greendale Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.11
St Gabriel’s Primary 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.24 0.11
Seng Kang Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.11
Horizon 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.06 0.11
Gan Eng Seng Primary 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.23 0.11
Junyuan Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.11
Pioneer Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.10
Anchor Green Primary 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.19 0.10
Bukit View Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.09
Fuhua Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.09
Yangzheng Primary 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.06 0.09
Jurong Primary 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.03 0.09
Kheng Cheng 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.10 0.09
Mayflower Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.09
Cantonment Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.09
Greenridge Primary 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.05 0.08
Huamin Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.08
Lakeside Primary 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.13 0.08
Riverside Primary 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.16 0.08
Canossa Convent Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.08
Palm View Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.07
Geylang Methodist School 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.06 0.07
Teck Ghee Primary 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.09 0.07
Greenwood Primary 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.08 0.06
Beacon Primary 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03 0.06
CHIJ (Katong) Primary 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.11 0.06
Telok Kurau Primary 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.07 0.05
Tampines North Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.03
Qihua Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.03
Casuarina Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.03
Lianhua Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.03
Ang Mo Kio Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02
Yumin Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02
Elias Park Primary 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.02
Yio Chu Kang Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02
New Town Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01
Changkat Primary 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.01
Fernvale Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01
Bendemeer Primary 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01
Townsville Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
Bukit Timah Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
Ahmad Ibrahim Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Angsana Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Balestier Hill Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Blangah Rise Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Boon Lay Garden Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Coral Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Da Qiao Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Damai Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dazhong Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
East Coast Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
East View Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Eunos Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Farrer Park Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
First Toa Payoh Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Guangyang Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jing Shan Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Juying Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kranji Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Loyang Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
MacPherson Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marsiling Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Meridien Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Montfort Junior 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Naval Base Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
North Spring Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Northoaks Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oasis Primary School 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Park View Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Peiying Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Punggol Cove Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Punggol Green Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Queenstown Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sembawang Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Si Ling Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Springdale Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stamford Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Teck Whye Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Waterway Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
West Spring Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
West View Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Xinghua Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Xishan Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yuhua Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zhonghua Primary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

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