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2022 Phase 2A Predictions

As we get ready for the 2022 P1 Phase 2A registration, let us review the changes that will feature in this year’s P1 Registration.

  1. The Phases 2A(1) and 2A(2) has been merged into a single Phase 2A.  Priority afforded to alumni members has been removed and alumni members will be treated at the same priority as people who were from the school but did not join the alumni.
  2. 40 seats will be reserved for Phase 2C.  These seats will be taken from the earlier Phase 2A and 2B.
  3. Phase 2B will continue to have a minimum of 20 places, but only an addition of 1/3 of places left after Phase 1 and 2A will be assigned to Phase 2B.  The other 2/3 will go to Phase 2C.

In other words, a total of 60 places are reserved for every school.  In the worst case, there might not even be a Phase 2A for the school if the take-up rate in Phase 1 for the school is so hot that every seat is taken safe for that 60 seats.  Don’t worry, that is very unlikely to happen as the school usually knows exactly how many people are signing up for Phase 1 long before registration starts, and they will cater for more places in Phase 2A should Phase 1 interest be very high.

The table below summarizes what might happen in Phase 2A.  We simulated Phase 2A from the last 5 years by adding the people who went for the sub-phases Phase 2A(1) and 2A(2) together and divided it by the number of places available for those Phases.  This should tell us which school is in danger of having to ballot in Phase 2A.  Unfortunately we cannot show the distance (<1km, 1-2km, >2km) that the bidding may occur at.

The schools that are in danger of balloting in Phase 2A are highlighted in RED.  Generally speaking, if Phase 2A is highlighted for the last 5 years, it should be safe to say that you should expect the school to require balloting.  Don’t forget this year will be more intense as Phase 2A has lost 20 seats to Phase 2C.  We have earlier stated the reasons for highlighting or not highlighting the schools in articles every week from this January.

We have also updated the number of places in each school that MOE has assigned and added a new column (2022-2021 Places).  This highlights the difference in places that MOE has assigned for the school between 2021 and 2022.

We are pleased to see that none of the schools in danger of balloting for Phase 2A have their places reduced.  So there are no changes to number of places to schools like CHIJ St Nicholas Girls’.  All those with reduced places are schools which are most unlikely to ballot in Phase 2A.  One district, Bukit Batok, has actually increased its places by a total of 140.  However, most districts suffered a reduction.  You just cannot attribute the reason, why you have to ballot in the schools with high demand, to reduced places 🙂

Good luck to all parents vying for a place in Phase 2A!

District
School Name 2022 Places 2022 –
2021 Places
Phase 2A 2021 Phase 2A 2020 Phase 2A 2019 Phase 2A 2018 Phase 2A 2017
Ang Mo Kio CHIJ St Nicholas Girls’ 210 0 2.1228 1.3086 1.2326 1.3333 1.2317
Ang Mo Kio Anderson Primary 210 0 0.7969 1.0167 0.4844 1.3137 0.9692
Ang Mo Kio Jing Shan Primary 150 -10 0.6111 0.5 0.7073 1.2593 0.8462
Ang Mo Kio Teck Ghee Primary 210 0 0.2192 0.3421 0.4182 0.3846 0.4182
Ang Mo Kio Townsville Primary 180 -10 0.1798 0.0769 0.1333 0.0849 0.1081
Ang Mo Kio Mayflower Primary 190 0 0.1325 0.1235 0.1875 0.1408 0.1268
Ang Mo Kio Ang Mo Kio Primary 210 -30 0.0833 0.1111 0.3409 0.1053 0.0882
Bedok Temasek Primary 200 0 2.375 2.5758 1.5405 0.9744 0.825
Bedok Yu Neng Primary 180 0 1.4634 1.7742 1.2326 1.7 1.0667
Bedok Red Swastika 240 0 1.186 1.3611 1.2614 1.7818 1.2346
Bedok Fengshan Primary 180 0 0.58 0.9355 0.4 0.425 0.2308
Bedok Telok Kurau Primary 190 -30 0.4098 0.0598 0.1548 0.0789 0.2273
Bedok CHIJ (Katong) Primary 200 0 0.4043 0.3646 0.26 0.382 0.3883
Bedok Opera Estate Primary 190 0 0.2353 0.5 0.2667 0.2549 0.0244
Bedok St Stephen’s 240 0 0.1591 0.2174 0.2018 0.4091 0.2389
Bedok Bedok Green Primary 240 -30 0.0892 0.1754 0.1122 0.1681 0.3529
Bedok St Anthony’s Canossian Primary 240 0 0.082 0.093 0.0609 0.1377 0.2113
Bedok Damai Primary 240 0 0.0612 0.186 0.2 0.0541 0.55
Bishan Catholic High 240 0 1.2424 1.2364 1.2967 1.2347 1.1062
Bishan Ai Tong 300 0 1.2151 1.433 1.0084 1.3429 1.0303
Bishan Kuo Chuan Presbyterian Primary 240 0 0.4388 0.7833 0.6 0.7258 0.3854
Bukit Batok Princess Elizabeth Primary 200 0 1.1875 2.5 0.7222 0.8704 0.8333
Bukit Batok St Anthony’s Primary 220 10 0.7429 0.7111 0.4795 0.3529 0.3095
Bukit Batok Keming Primary 220 10 0.6774 0.6029 0.6471 0.5763 0.3676
Bukit Batok Dazhong Primary 200 0 0.5797 0.45 0.3846 0.1058 0.4138
Bukit Batok Lianhua Primary 300 60 0.124 0.0333 0.1084 0.1351 0.1011
Bukit Batok Bukit View Primary 300 60 0.094 0.0569 0.1014 0.1442 0.1429
Bukit Merah Radin Mas Primary 200 0 1.1897 2.36 0.8947 1.6 1
Bukit Merah Zhangde Primary 180 -30 0.2353 0.1875 0.1579 0.322 0.381
Bukit Merah Alexandra Primary 200 0 0.2222 0.1351 0.0784 0.05 0
Bukit Merah CHIJ (Kellock) 200 0 0.1649 0.234 0.1596 0.2472 0.2135
Bukit Merah Blangah Rise Primary 120 -30 0.1389 0.1359 0.2667 0.1795 0.08
Bukit Merah Gan Eng Seng Primary 150 -60 0.0364 0.0217 0.0649 0.1667 0.1132
Bukit Merah Cantonment Primary 180 -60 0.0167 0.0583 0.0508 0.0238 0.0244
Bukit Panjang West Spring Primary 240 0 1.1528 0.9538 1.3256 0.519 0.026
Bukit Panjang Bukit Panjang Primary 240 0 0.9277 0.6053 0.6585 0.6452 0.6582
Bukit Panjang Zhenghua Primary 240 0 0.3627 0.3704 0.3538 0.3333 0.2571
Bukit Panjang Greenridge Primary 210 -30 0.1748 0.1579 0.1111 0.2278 0.0753
Bukit Panjang CHIJ Our Lady Queen of Peace 180 0 0.15 0.125 0.1429 0.1687 0.1163
Bukit Panjang Beacon Primary 210 -30 0.0926 0.0352 0.046 0.0962 0.0972
Bukit Panjang West View Primary 160 -20 0.0732 0.0714 0.0822 0.0177 0.05
Bukit Timah Pei Hwa Presbyterian Primary 224 0 1.6863 1.4681 1.8333 1.2927 0.809
Bukit Timah Nanyang Primary 390 0 1.25 1.2432 1.3188 1.2761 1.2598
Bukit Timah Henry Park Primary 300 0 1.125 1.3882 0.9727 1.358 0.982
Bukit Timah Methodist Girls’ School (Primary) 210 0 1.0833 1.0814 1.2159 0.9881 0.9898
Bukit Timah Raffles Girls’ Primary 270 0 0.4863 0.6364 0.4218 0.4658 0.4672
Bukit Timah Bukit Timah Primary 190 -20 0.069 0.0444 0.0667 0.0588 0.0882
Central Anglo-Chinese School (Junior) 270 0 0.9508 1.0855 0.763 0.8308 0.7101
Central River Valley Primary 210 0 0.7931 1 0.9 0.7083 0.4828
Central St Margaret’s Primary 192 0 0.425 0.2727 0.2737 0.3258 0.2637
Choa Chu Kang South View Primary 270 0 1.2766 1.125 0.8571 1.2651 0.8396
Choa Chu Kang Chua Chu Kang Primary 240 0 0.4432 0.2676 0.1556 0.1765 0.3167
Choa Chu Kang De La Salle 240 0 0.3294 0.3407 0.2111 0.1531 0.2047
Choa Chu Kang Concord Primary 240 0 0.2791 0.2877 0.1485 0.2239 0.3415
Choa Chu Kang Kranji Primary 150 -30 0.2778 0.1092 0.0606 0.1167 0.0526
Choa Chu Kang Unity Primary 210 -30 0.0971 0.0849 0.2131 0.2034 0.1636
Choa Chu Kang Yew Tee Primary 210 -30 0.0926 0.1048 0.1379 0.0652 0.125
Choa Chu Kang Teck Whye Primary 240 0 0.0726 0.0758 0.0851 0.0548 0.0769
Clementi Nan Hua Primary 240 0 1.4932 1.4737 1.4722 1.25 1.381
Clementi Qifa Primary 280 0 0.4538 0.5676 0.23 0.4074 0.3373
Clementi Pei Tong Primary 280 0 0.2381 0.2456 0.0932 0.1186 0.1579
Clementi Clementi Primary 280 0 0.2143 0.1346 0.1346 0.3472 0.2421
Geylang Maha Bodhi 330 0 0.75 0.6403 0.8143 1.0303 0.708
Geylang Kong Hwa 270 0 0.7037 0.7708 0.5962 1.1791 0.701
Geylang Haig Girls’ 190 0 0.407 0.3125 0.2537 0.2319 0.2267
Geylang Geylang Methodist School 270 0 0.2602 0.2937 0.2083 0.2385 0.2443
Geylang Canossa Convent Primary 120 -30 0.2281 0.3333 0.1951 0.2791 0.1111
Hougang Holy Innocents’ Primary 270 0 1.3827 0.8087 0.7563 1.0795 0.6981
Hougang Xinmin Primary 210 0 0.746 0.7333 0.5333 0.7714 0.5
Hougang Paya Lebar Methodist Girls’ 270 0 0.6204 0.4898 0.396 0.5231 0.3878
Hougang Punggol Primary 190 0 0.5128 0.2083 0.1184 0.1385 0.2206
Hougang CHIJ Our Lady of the Nativity 240 0 0.246 0.2712 0.2087 0.2562 0.2857
Hougang Hougang Primary 200 0 0.2029 0.2833 0.1918 0.2593 0.1833
Hougang Montfort Junior 150 -30 0.09 0.2619 0.1489 0.25 0.0845
Hougang Xinghua Primary 280 40 0.0803 0.0636 0.1081 0.1079 0.2308
Hougang Yio Chu Kang Primary 200 0 0 0.0149 0.1139 0.0446 0.1228
Jurong East Jurong Primary 180 -10 0.6207 1.3929 0.8333 0.8293 0.5882
Jurong East Fuhua Primary 180 -40 0.3472 0.3108 0.3529 0.2381 0.5192
Jurong East Yuhua Primary 210 -30 0.1154 0.1094 0.125 0.1193 0.2821
Jurong West Frontier Primary 210 0 1.7778 1.3922 0.9014 1.2444 0.0213
Jurong West Rulang Primary 270 0 1.7368 1.9677 1.1758 1.0521 0.8411
Jurong West Westwood Primary 240 0 1.1277 1.5 1.0333 0.7541 0.0506
Jurong West Shuqun Primary 200 0 0.9298 1.5 1.0476 0.4211 0.4167
Jurong West Lakeside Primary 240 0 0.4375 0.2326 0.25 0.6585 0.2222
Jurong West Jurong West Primary 180 0 0.375 0.4595 0.3617 0.1746 0.5128
Jurong West Xingnan Primary 300 0 0.1369 0.3375 0.6486 0.5714 0.7308
Jurong West West Grove Primary 240 0 0.0943 0.193 0.4063 0.2381 0.3265
Jurong West Corporation Primary 240 -30 0.087 0.1134 0.1067 0.0833 0.0897
Jurong West Boon Lay Garden Primary 300 60 0.0504 0.0583 0.0775 0.082 0.234
Kallang Hong Wen 210 0 0.5821 0.4667 0.4697 1.1538 0.5156
Kallang Farrer Park Primary 190 -30 0.125 0.125 0.1452 0.1667 0.0317
Kallang Bendemeer Primary 190 -50 0.0661 0.2063 0.2464 0.2308 0.1566
Marine Parade Tao Nan 360 0 1.1905 1.1538 0.9504 0.8261 0.8163
Marine Parade Tanjong Katong Primary 200 0 0.5645 0.5 0.4412 0.2091 0.2136
Marine Parade Ngee Ann Primary 240 0 0.3511 0.2737 0.3267 0.56 0.4375
Novena Anglo-Chinese School (Primary) 240 0 1.0744 1.0982 1.0407 0.9643 0.8475
Novena Singapore Chinese Girls’ Primary 192 0 0.9859 1.1884 0.9012 1.0274 0.8861
Novena St Joseph’s Institution Junior 240 0 0.5169 0.5417 0.5082 0.6379 0.4762
Pasir Ris Pasir Ris Primary 180 0 1.1538 1.1481 0.7879 0.7895 0.3509
Pasir Ris Casuarina Primary 160 0 0.5676 0.2353 0.1628 0.4211 0.36
Pasir Ris Elias Park Primary 180 -10 0.4286 0.3429 0.2364 0.3333 0.069
Pasir Ris White Sands Primary 180 0 0.2973 0.4848 0.3793 0.5769 0.4762
Pasir Ris Park View Primary 180 0 0.1493 0.0972 0.1224 0.0875 0.0349
Pasir Ris Meridien Primary 190 0 0.0421 0.0407 0.0308 0.075 0.0488
Punggol Horizon Primary 240 0 2.4286 0.3478 0.1095 0.0823 0.038
Punggol Punggol Green Primary 250 0 1.3333 1 1.1852 0.5691 0
Punggol Waterway Primary 280 0 1.1549 0.6632 0.2121 0 0
Punggol Punggol View Primary 250 -30 0.8519 1.3036 0.4587 0.2889 0.0337
Punggol Oasis Primary 250 -30 0.7292 0.7917 0.5221 0.0056 0
Punggol Punggol Cove Primary 250 -30 0.6058 0.449 0.3333 0.0061 0.005
Punggol Valour Primary 280 0 0.4581 0 0 0 0
Punggol Mee Toh 300 -20 0.3109 0.2661 0.1722 0.2905 0.2031
Punggol Edgefield Primary 240 0 0.075 0.1412 0.1059 0.082 0.0992
Punggol Greendale Primary 240 -40 0.0124 0.0364 0.0385 0.0328 0.0625
Punggol Northshore Primary 240 0 0 0 0 0 0
Queenstown Fairfield Methodist Primary 270 0 1.186 1.134 0.9515 0.973 1.069
Queenstown Queenstown Primary 210 -30 0.3103 0.1359 0.2593 0.1961 0.1043
Queenstown New Town Primary 210 -60 0.0462 0.0364 0.037 0.1212 0.0714
Sembawang Wellington Primary 240 0 0.5517 0.6279 0.0435 0.0721 0.1724
Sembawang Canberra Primary 240 0 0.1895 0.2286 0.2712 0.4 0.4107
Sembawang Sembawang Primary 200 10 0.1852 0.1667 0.1967 0.0988 0.0615
Sembawang Northoaks Primary 220 10 0.1304 0.1 0.0815 0.1016 0
Sembawang Endeavour Primary 240 0 0.0755 0.0778 0.0769 0.1 0.0968
Seng Kang Springdale Primary 280 0 1.0125 0.5818 0.5714 0.4752 0.0141
Seng Kang Sengkang Green Primary 280 0 0.75 1.0777 0.7449 0.8 0.0169
Seng Kang Fern Green Primary 240 -40 0.6535 0.6348 0.2953 0 0
Seng Kang Anchor Green Primary 240 0 0.6344 0.4306 0.0625 0.0273 0.0805
Seng Kang Nan Chiau Primary 300 0 0.4057 0.3115 0.3958 0.5408 0.313
Seng Kang North Vista Primary 240 -30 0.3796 0.0854 0.0396 0.0566 0.069
Seng Kang Fernvale Primary 240 -40 0.3786 0.292 0.119 0.0424 0.0602
Seng Kang Rivervale Primary 210 -30 0.2273 0.0957 0.2222 0.3818 0.134
Seng Kang Compassvale Primary 240 0 0.1461 0.1348 0.1782 0.2286 0.1163
Seng Kang Palm View Primary 240 -40 0.0806 0.0261 0.0465 0.0119 0.0135
Seng Kang Seng Kang Primary 210 -60 0.0743 0.0816 0.0738 0.0588 0.0351
Seng Kang North Spring Primary 210 -30 0.0625 0.0424 0.0988 0.0403 0.05
Serangoon Rosyth 270 0 1.6721 1.3284 1.4853 1.3457 1.125
Serangoon Yangzheng Primary 160 -20 0.5769 0.4727 0.46 1.1786 0.4576
Serangoon CHIJ Our Lady of Good Counsel 150 0 0.5319 0.2295 0.2453 0.2222 0.2727
Serangoon St Gabriel’s Primary 150 0 0.3871 0.2647 0.434 0.3276 0.3167
Serangoon Zhonghua Primary 150 -30 0.0667 0.0842 0.0294 0.0667 0.2041
Tampines Gongshang Primary 210 0 2.3333 1.6512 0.8 1.5909 1.0625
Tampines Chongzheng Primary 180 0 1.5152 1.1667 0.5294 0.9302 0.5893
Tampines St Hilda’s Primary 270 0 1.2987 1.5362 0.5603 1.3509 0.9241
Tampines Junyuan Primary 240 0 0.5524 0.6563 1.4444 -10.5 1.0476
Tampines Tampines Primary 240 0 0.5238 0.6 0.375 0.3288 0.566
Tampines Poi Ching 240 0 0.3261 0.2969 0.202 0.4237 0.3714
Tampines Yumin Primary 180 0 0.3226 0.2778 0.3542 0.5385 0.6061
Tampines Changkat Primary 210 0 0.1346 0.1538 0.3415 0.2029 0.1429
Tampines Tampines North Primary 240 0 0.1038 0.1471 0.1 0.13 0.0952
Tampines Angsana Primary 280 40 0.0634 0.0268 0.3056 0.0574 0.0469
Tampines East Spring Primary 190 -20 0 0.1364 0.2895 0.1346 0.1404
Toa Payoh Pei Chun Public 300 0 1.2545 1.2747 1.0522 1.3077 0.8793
Toa Payoh CHIJ Primary (Toa Payoh) 210 0 0.7677 0.8953 0.7604 0.6344 0.8261
Toa Payoh St Andrew’s Junior 240 0 0.7431 0.4621 0.6522 0.6514 0.5447
Toa Payoh Maris Stella High 270 0 0.6178 0.7077 0.6599 0.785 0.6043
Toa Payoh Kheng Cheng 240 0 0.4182 0.2211 0.1743 0.3294 0.1909
Toa Payoh First Toa Payoh Primary 150 -60 0.0758 0.0385 0.0465 0.0694 0.04
Toa Payoh Cedar Primary 240 0 0.0694 0.072 0.0789 0.1733 0.3462
Toa Payoh Marymount Convent 240 0 0.0515 0.0576 0.0708 0.2037 0.098
Woodlands Riverside Primary 210 0 1.1884 1.1522 1.2692 0.898 0.0408
Woodlands Woodlands Primary 210 0 0.625 0.5094 0.6383 0.75 0.322
Woodlands Admiralty Primary 210 0 0.4179 0.3934 0.3284 0.5238 0.3117
Woodlands Innova Primary 180 0 0.2813 0.2973 0.2917 0.0959 0.0847
Woodlands Woodgrove Primary 180 0 0.2766 0.2586 0.3889 0.2449 0.2381
Woodlands Qihua Primary 240 0 0.2376 0.172 0.3333 0.1311 0.1169
Woodlands Evergreen Primary 210 0 0.2273 0.3333 0.3158 0.3276 0.1875
Woodlands Si Ling Primary 150 0 0.1731 0.1364 0.1132 0.1183 0.1039
Woodlands Fuchun Primary 210 0 0.1688 0.5946 0.17 0.2468 0.4211
Woodlands Marsiling Primary 210 0 0.1628 0.0842 0.1754 0.0507 0.1528
Woodlands Woodlands Ring Primary 240 0 0.14 0.1475 0.2469 0.1263 0.1563
Woodlands Greenwood Primary 240 0 0.1111 0.1034 0.1029 0.0947 0.1333
Yishun Northland Primary 240 0 1.0845 0.8171 0.3611 1.0984 0.7692
Yishun Huamin Primary 280 0 0.9885 0.5122 0.3846 0.3218 0.3061
Yishun Chongfu Primary 300 0 0.93 0.8214 0.6477 0.8621 0.6091
Yishun Naval Base Primary 280 0 0.6471 0.184 0.2072 0.191 0.0737
Yishun Yishun Primary 180 -20 0.3966 0.4167 0.2576 0.2697 0.2283
Yishun Xishan Primary 190 -30 0.2571 0.2449 0.1102 0.1475 0.1765
Yishun Jiemin Primary 180 -40 0.25 0.4815 0.4464 0.5342 0.48
Yishun Peiying Primary 190 -30 0.2143 0.3265 0.1563 0.1735 0.2388
Yishun North View Primary 240 0 0.1569 0.2055 0.325 0.3333 0.0769
Yishun Ahmad Ibrahim Primary 190 -20 0.0545 0.0563 0.0538 0.0842 0.0946
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