Get Ready for 2021 P1 Registration
Welcome all to the 2021 edition of P1 registration in Singapore! Due to COVID-19, this year will be a mostly online affair, similar to last year’s.
This year, we can really feel MOE tightening down on the schools due to shrinkage in demand. A number of schools are targeted to be “merged”, a euphemism for eradication. Guangyang Primary, Stamford Primary and Eunos Primary will only participate up to Phase 2A(2) this year in 2021, and their new students will be going to their respective merged schools in 2022. Pioneer Primary will be shut down in 2022, and its merged school Juying Primary will not participate in this year’s P1 Registration.
While these schools have been consistently unpopular over the years, one could not help but feel sad that they are closing. It also means less choices for those who may be hoping for a place in a Singaporean school in Phase 3. For those hoping for a fuss-free P1 Registration this year, well, there are still some schools which have not been oversubscribed, although the number is shrinking.
We have included the 2021 Probability of balloting chart below. Essentially:
GREEN means there is a risk of balloting for those living beyond 2 km,
YELLOW means there is risk of balloting for those staying between 1 and 2km, and
RED means there is a STRONG risk of balloting for those staying within 1km of the school.
The number in the box indicates the strength of the risk, and it ranges from 0 to 1. This value has been collected over the last 15 years, with more emphasis given to the recent years. For example, CHIJ St Nicolas Girls’ has a top rating of 1.0 in Phase 2B (ie. it is almost guaranteed to require balloting for those staying under 1km of the school, without qualifying exceptions). On the other hand, Jing Shan Primary has a low risk of 0.07 in Phase 2C (ie. there is a small chance of it requiring balloting for those staying beyond 2km of the school).
A number of schools have a null 
indicator for Phase 2C(S), meaning that these schools have consistently filled up all their vacancies by Phase 2C, and so have no place left for Phase 2C(S).
Hence, for a stress-free Exercise, aim for those schools which are not colored, and has 0.00 for all the phases!
After last year’s exercise, I would think that Catholic High is probably the hardest school to get in. It has pipped CHIJ St Nicholas Girls’ with a top rating of 1.0 in Phase 2B.
For this year, I have changed the risk of balloting in Phase 2A(1) to GREEN for all schools since so far, no schools has required balloting in Phase 2A(1) for those staying under 2km so far (fingers crossed).
Good luck to all parents going for P1 Registration this year! May you get your child into the school you desire.
|
Area |
School |
2021 Probability of Balloting |
||||
|
2A(1) |
2A(2) |
2B |
2C |
2C(S) |
||
|
1.00 |
0.01 |
1.00 |
0.52 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.34 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.21 |
0.01 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
0.06 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.67 |
0.12 |
0.60 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.38 |
0.16 |
0.59 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.17 |
0.05 |
0.44 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.09 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.14 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.22 |
0.10 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
0.01 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.11 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.12 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.35 |
0.46 |
1.00 |
0.59 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.51 |
0.88 |
0.67 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.13 |
0.25 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.11 |
0.00 |
0.62 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.36 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.43 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.17 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
||
|
Bukit Merah |
0.00 |
0.27 |
0.08 |
0.51 |
– |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.53 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.17 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.40 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.03 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
Bukit Panjang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.34 |
– |
|
|
Bukit Panjang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.63 |
– |
|
|
Bukit Panjang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
0.05 |
|
|
Bukit Panjang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.00 |
|
|
Bukit Panjang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.18 |
|
|
Bukit Panjang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.18 |
|
|
Bukit Panjang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
|
0.53 |
0.20 |
0.54 |
0.47 |
– |
||
|
0.37 |
0.24 |
0.17 |
0.55 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.83 |
0.62 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.91 |
0.35 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.31 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.16 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.75 |
0.35 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
0.30 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
0.05 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.89 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.30 |
0.04 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.08 |
0.38 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.56 |
0.31 |
0.45 |
1.00 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
0.07 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.37 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.39 |
0.46 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.19 |
0.33 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.08 |
0.17 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
0.04 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.19 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.49 |
0.38 |
0.04 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.29 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.34 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.29 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.19 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.14 |
0.05 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.12 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.18 |
0.16 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.24 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.31 |
0.47 |
0.87 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.12 |
0.00 |
0.64 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.12 |
0.56 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.33 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.41 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.23 |
0.09 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.16 |
0.02 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.24 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.14 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.08 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.18 |
0.54 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.95 |
0.51 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.14 |
0.16 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.06 |
0.15 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.15 |
0.83 |
0.40 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.55 |
0.32 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
0.41 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.06 |
0.45 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.32 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.14 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
0.26 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
0.49 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.66 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.43 |
0.01 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.29 |
0.14 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.13 |
0.10 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.22 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.98 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.58 |
||
|
Punggol |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.71 |
0.47 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
||
|
Sembawang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.52 |
0.52 |
– |
|
|
Sembawang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.12 |
0.03 |
|
|
Sembawang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
|
|
Sembawang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.04 |
|
|
Sembawang |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.63 |
0.87 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.89 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.43 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.27 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.19 |
0.68 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
1.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.23 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.20 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.23 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.53 |
0.18 |
0.63 |
0.97 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.07 |
0.25 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.27 |
0.01 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.22 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.19 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.16 |
0.67 |
0.76 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.09 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.43 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.34 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.16 |
0.06 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
0.02 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.18 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.18 |
0.45 |
0.49 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.69 |
0.35 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.44 |
0.30 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.34 |
0.31 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
0.09 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.30 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.43 |
0.04 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.36 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.33 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
0.11 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.14 |
0.06 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
0.49 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.06 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
0.72 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.16 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.06 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.34 |
0.60 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.90 |
– |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.23 |
0.03 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
0.00 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
0.41 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.10 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.28 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.05 |
||
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
||