P1 Registration for 2014 – Preview
Submitted by 
(Updated 27 Mar 2013) Come mid July this year, the Primary One registration madness will start once again. This year’s Exercise would be for children born in 2007, the year of the Pig.
The birthrate for 2007 was 39490, vs 2006 which was 38317. There was an increase of 1173 babies.
This might prompt MOE to increase the number of places offered for Primary One in 2014, but it depends very much on many other factors such as the number of PR children or children of Singaporeans returning home who are eligible for Primary School next year. MOE has yet to release information about available places, new schools, and the actual dates for the registration.
Given the competition for places in popular schools in recent years, parents would do well to register their children in Phases 1 or 2A, if the situation allows. Parents who cannot enjoy this privilege will have to go through the nail-biting, later stages of the Exercise.
KiasuParents.com has analysed the last 6 years (2006-2012) of P1 registration exercises, and we will be sharing some insights into the trends that we observed. This is purely a statistical analysis, not taking into account exigent circumstances and other information not publicly released. The intent is to provide parents with information that allows them to evaluate their chances of getting into specific schools, and knowing what suitable alternatives they may have if they find it is too risky to bet on getting into popular schools. Parents should practise caution when using this information.
The Balloting Risk is averaged over a maximum of 7 years. New schools with shorter histories are also listed, but averaged over the number of years they existed.
Risk values range from 0.00 to 1.00, normalised against the school with the highest risk of balloting in each Phase. The new index takes into account 3 factors
- The distance bucket for which balloting is required. Balloting within 1km would be weighted higher than balloting within 1-2km or beyond 2km
- The recency of balloting. Balloting that occurred more recently are weighted higher than balloting that occurred earlier. This is linearly scaled.
- The intensity of the competition reflected by the level of over-subscription (as seen in the APP value of our charts). So balloting that occurred with higher levels of over-subscription will be weighted higher.
In short,
- 0.00 => No balloting of any sort has occurred at that Phase in any year for the school
- 1.00 => School with the highest risk of balloting (or cut-off) at that Phase
Any value between 0.00 and 1.00 implies that some form of balloting has occurred. The higher the index, the higher the risk of balloting within 1km of the school.
We have also marked the schools with colors to make things easier to read.
| Uncolored => No risk of balloting at any distance | |
| High risk of balloting beyond 2km | |
| High risk of balloting between 1km to 2km | |
| High risk of balloting within 1km |
Obviously, parents should avoid schools with high risks of balloting, and go for those which are near their homes and with much lower risks. As an example, referring to the table below, if you stay in Ang Mo Kio, and if you are not already in Phase 2B of CHIJ St Nicholas, you should NOT try your luck in Phase 2C for CHIJ St Nicholas if you are outside of 1km. Even if you are within 1km, the odds could be against you, especially if you are a PR, and not a Singaporean.
Instead, you might wish to consider going for Teck Ghee Primary School in Phase 2C. It has a very low risk of balloting in Phase 2C, but it gets quite hot in Phase 2CS when all those that tried but failed to get into SNGS start looking for alternatives, leading to some risk of balloting in Phase 2CS. Mayflower and Ang Mo Kio Primary schools are also good alternatives for Phase 2C if you are looking for a stress-free P1 registration.
| DPG Area | School | Balloting Risk | ||
| 2B | 2C | 2CS | ||
| Ang Mo Kio | CHIJ St Nicholas Girls’ | 0.73 | 0.51 | 0.00 |
| Ang Mo Kio | Anderson Primary | 0.00 | 0.42 | 0.00 |
| Ang Mo Kio | Teck Ghee Primary | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| Ang Mo Kio | Mayflower Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Ang Mo Kio | Ang Mo Kio Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Ang Mo Kio | Townsville Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Ang Mo Kio | Da Qiao Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ang Mo Kio | Jing Shan Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bedok | Red Swastika | 0.20 | 0.63 | 0.00 |
| Bedok | Temasek Primary | 0.11 | 0.46 | 0.00 |
| Bedok | Yu Neng Primary | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.00 |
| Bedok | Fengshan Primary | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| Bedok | St Stephen’s | 0.02 | 0.16 | 0.00 |
| Bedok | Telok Kurau Primary | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Bedok | CHIJ (Katong) Primary | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| Bedok | St Anthony’s Canossian Primary | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.24 |
| Bedok | Bedok Green Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Bedok | Bedok West Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bedok | Damai Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bedok | East Coast Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bedok | Opera Estate Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bishan | Catholic High | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.00 |
| Bishan | Ai Tong | 0.86 | 0.56 | 0.00 |
| Bishan | Kuo Chuan Presbyterian Primary | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.00 |
| Bishan | Guangyang Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Batok | Princess Elizabeth Primary | 0.00 | 0.51 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Batok | St Anthony’s Primary | 0.01 | 0.37 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Batok | Keming Primary | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Batok | Bukit View Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
| Bukit Batok | Lianhua Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Bukit Batok | Dazhong Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Batok | Hong Kah Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Merah | Radin Mas Primary | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Merah | Zhangde Primary | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Merah | CHIJ (Kellock) | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Merah | Gan Eng Seng Primary | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.25 |
| Bukit Merah | Cantonment Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Bukit Merah | Blangah Rise Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Panjang | Bukit Panjang Primary | 0.08 | 0.42 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Panjang | Greenridge Primary | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.08 |
| Bukit Panjang | Beacon Primary | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.06 |
| Bukit Panjang | CHIJ Our Lady Queen of Peace | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| Bukit Panjang | Zhenghua Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.99 |
| Bukit Panjang | West View Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Timah | Henry Park Primary | 0.09 | 0.48 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Timah | Nanyang Primary | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Timah | Pei Hwa Presbyterian Primary | 0.18 | 0.32 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Timah | Methodist Girls’ School (Primary) | 0.57 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Timah | Raffles Girls’ Primary | 0.04 | 0.24 | 0.00 |
| Bukit Timah | Bukit Timah Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Central | Anglo-Chinese School (Junior) | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.00 |
| Central | River Valley Primary | 0.04 | 0.19 | 0.00 |
| Central | St Margaret’s Primary | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 |
| Central | Stamford Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Choa Chu Kang | South View Primary | 0.16 | 0.79 | 0.00 |
| Choa Chu Kang | De La Salle | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.00 |
| Choa Chu Kang | Yew Tee Primary | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.06 |
| Choa Chu Kang | Unity Primary | 0.00 | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| Choa Chu Kang | Chua Chu Kang Primary | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.47 |
| Choa Chu Kang | Concord Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.57 |
| Choa Chu Kang | Kranji Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Choa Chu Kang | Teck Whye Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clementi | Nan Hua Primary | 0.40 | 0.74 | 0.00 |
| Clementi | Clementi Primary | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| Clementi | Qifa Primary | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| Clementi | Pei Tong Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Geylang | Kong Hwa | 0.51 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Geylang | Maha Bodhi | 0.11 | 0.32 | 0.00 |
| Geylang | Geylang Methodist School | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| Geylang | Haig Girls’ | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.13 |
| Geylang | Canossa Convent Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Geylang | Eunos Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Geylang | MacPherson Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Hougang | Hougang Primary | 0.00 | 0.35 | 0.00 |
| Hougang | Xinmin Primary | 0.00 | 0.35 | 0.00 |
| Hougang | Holy Innocents’ Primary | 0.15 | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Hougang | Paya Lebar Methodist Girls’ | 0.07 | 0.21 | 0.00 |
| Hougang | CHIJ Our Lady of the Nativity | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
| Hougang | Punggol Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.36 |
| Hougang | Yio Chu Kang Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Hougang | Montfort Junior | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Hougang | Xinghua Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jurong East | Jurong Primary | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.05 |
| Jurong East | Fuhua Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jurong East | Yuhua Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jurong West | Rulang Primary | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jurong West | West Grove Primary | 0.13 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Jurong West | Westwood Primary | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Jurong West | Frontier Primary | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0.00 |
| Jurong West | Jurong West Primary | 0.00 | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| Jurong West | Shuqun Primary | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0.00 |
| Jurong West | Lakeside Primary | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.21 |
| Jurong West | Xingnan Primary | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.46 |
| Jurong West | Pioneer Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| Jurong West | Boon Lay Garden Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jurong West | Corporation Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jurong West | Juying Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Kallang | Hong Wen | 0.10 | 0.37 | 0.00 |
| Kallang | Bendemeer Primary | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Kallang | Farrer Park Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Marine Parade | Tao Nan | 0.64 | 0.39 | 0.00 |
| Marine Parade | Tanjong Katong Primary | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.32 |
| Marine Parade | Ngee Ann Primary | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.55 |
| Novena | Anglo-Chinese School (Primary) | 0.47 | 0.34 | 0.00 |
| Novena | Singapore Chinese Girls’ Primary | 0.04 | 0.31 | 0.00 |
| Novena | St Joseph’s Institution Junior | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.00 |
| Novena | Balestier Hill Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Pasir Ris | Pasir Ris Primary | 0.00 | 0.34 | 0.00 |
| Pasir Ris | White Sands Primary | 0.00 | 0.27 | 0.00 |
| Pasir Ris | Elias Park Primary | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 |
| Pasir Ris | Casuarina Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Pasir Ris | Coral Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Pasir Ris | Loyang Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Pasir Ris | Meridien Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Pasir Ris | Park View Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Punggol | Mee Toh | 0.00 | 0.52 | 0.00 |
| Punggol | Horizon | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| Punggol | Edgefield Primary | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
| Punggol | Greendale Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Punggol | Punggol Green Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Punggol | Punggol View Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Queenstown | Fairfield Methodist Primary | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Queenstown | New Town Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Queenstown | Queenstown Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sembawang | Canberra Primary | 0.00 | 0.42 | 0.00 |
| Sembawang | Endeavour Primary | 0.00 | 0.36 | 0.00 |
| Sembawang | Wellington Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Sembawang | Sembawang Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Seng Kang | Nan Chiau Primary | 0.38 | 0.74 | 0.00 |
| Seng Kang | Rivervale Primary | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.00 |
| Seng Kang | Compassvale Primary | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Seng Kang | North Vista Primary | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.44 |
| Seng Kang | Anchor Green Primary | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.38 |
| Seng Kang | Fernvale Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Seng Kang | North Spring Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Seng Kang | Palm View Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Seng Kang | Seng Kang Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Seng Kang | Sengkang Green Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Seng Kang | Springdale Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Serangoon | Rosyth | 0.21 | 0.79 | 0.00 |
| Serangoon | CHIJ Our Lady of Good Counsel | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.00 |
| Serangoon | Yangzheng Primary | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| Serangoon | St Gabriel’s Primary | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| Serangoon | Zhonghua Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Tampines | St Hilda’s Primary | 0.33 | 0.72 | 0.00 |
| Tampines | Chongzheng Primary | 0.00 | 0.39 | 0.00 |
| Tampines | Gongshang Primary | 0.00 | 0.38 | 0.00 |
| Tampines | East Spring Primary | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Tampines | Poi Ching | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.00 |
| Tampines | Tampines Primary | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.37 |
| Tampines | Tampines North Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Tampines | Yumin Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Tampines | Junyuan Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Tampines | Changkat Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Tampines | East View Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Tampines | Griffiths Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Tampines | Qiaonan Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Toa Payoh | Pei Chun Public | 0.27 | 0.46 | 0.00 |
| Toa Payoh | CHIJ Primary (Toa Payoh) | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.00 |
| Toa Payoh | St Andrew’s Junior | 0.14 | 0.24 | 0.00 |
| Toa Payoh | Maris Stella High | 0.07 | 0.19 | 0.00 |
| Toa Payoh | Kheng Cheng | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| Toa Payoh | Marymount Convent | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
| Toa Payoh | Cedar Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 |
| Toa Payoh | First Toa Payoh Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Woodlands | Admiralty Primary | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.00 |
| Woodlands | Evergreen Primary | 0.00 | 0.39 | 0.00 |
| Woodlands | Innova Primary | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.04 |
| Woodlands | Fuchun Primary | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Woodlands | Greenwood Primary | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| Woodlands | Woodgrove Primary | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.30 |
| Woodlands | Woodlands Ring Primary | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.40 |
| Woodlands | Woodlands Primary | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.36 |
| Woodlands | Riverside Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
| Woodlands | Qihua Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Woodlands | Marsiling Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Woodlands | Si Ling Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Yishun | Northland Primary | 0.09 | 0.57 | 0.00 |
| Yishun | Chongfu Primary | 0.20 | 0.36 | 0.00 |
| Yishun | Jiemin Primary | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.00 |
| Yishun | Yishun Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Yishun | Ahmad Ibrahim Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Yishun | Huamin Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Yishun | Naval Base Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Yishun | North View Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Yishun | Peiying Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Yishun | Xishan Primary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |