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2015 P1 Registration Phase 2A(1)

 

(a) For a child whose parent is a former student of the primary school and who has joined the alumni association as a member not later than 30 June 2014.

(b) For a child whose parent is a member of the School Advisory / Management Committee

Announcement of Results:

By Thursday, 9 July 2015

Updated 8 July 2015:  Analysis

At the end of Phase 2A(1) 2015, the big news is that CHIJ St Nicholas Girls’ is the first to require balloting for children staying outside of 2km, for the first time since the Phase 2A was split into (1) and (2) in 1999.

In truth, this was not entirely unexpected given the situation last year.  SNGS has a very strong alumni, and is a full school which means that parents who studied in the Secondary school are also accorded alumni status.  At the same time, the in-take (210) for SNGS is much smaller compared to other popular schools such as NYPS (390) and Henry Park (300).

Knowing this doesn’t make it easier for parents who had to ballot for the places in Phase 2A(1) this year, but it serves notice to future parents who might be alumni of SNGS:  join the schools’ Alumni, or you may not even be able to participate in Phase 2A.

Things were not as eventful for other schools, particularly NYPS where the Phase 2A(1) TUR did not exceed 100.

All in all, 20 school now has less than 50% of their places left for other Phases.  However, the Phase 2A(2) situation now looks pretty dire for a handful of schools at the top of the list below.

School Phase 2A(1)
APP TUR
CHIJ St Nicholas Girls’ 105% 81%
Henry Park Primary 81% 79%
Ai Tong 74% 78%
Nanyang Primary 62% 76%
Catholic High 76% 71%
Tao Nan 52% 71%
Nan Hua Primary 53% 68%
Red Swastika 61% 68%
Methodist Girls’ School (Primary) 67% 67%
Fairfield Methodist Primary 51% 66%
Anglo-Chinese School (Primary) 67% 65%
Rulang Primary 34% 62%
Horizon 0% 61%
Rosyth 30% 61%
Temasek Primary 33% 58%
Kong Hwa 27% 56%
Pei Chun Public 31% 56%
St Hilda’s Primary 19% 52%
Maha Bodhi 25% 51%
Nan Chiau Primary 13% 51%
Pasir Ris Primary 0% 49%
Anglo-Chinese School (Junior) 40% 49%
Radin Mas Primary 19% 49%
West Grove Primary 0% 49%
South View Primary 7% 49%
Kheng Cheng 0% 48%
Yu Neng Primary 13% 48%
Hong Wen 13% 48%
Raffles Girls’ Primary 23% 47%
Endeavour Primary 0% 47%
Fengshan Primary 0% 47%
Canberra Primary 0% 47%
Xinmin Primary 0% 46%
Admiralty Primary 0% 46%
Chongfu Primary 8% 46%
White Sands Primary 0% 46%
Singapore Chinese Girls’ Primary 39% 46%
Chongzheng Primary 0% 45%
River Valley Primary 0% 45%
Innova Primary 1% 45%
Yew Tee Primary 0% 45%
Pei Hwa Presbyterian Primary 0% 45%
Gongshang Primary 9% 45%
Lakeside Primary 0% 44%
St Anthony’s Primary 6% 44%
Mee Toh 4% 44%
Corporation Primary 0% 44%
Maris Stella High 23% 44%
Bukit Panjang Primary 4% 43%
CHIJ Primary (Toa Payoh) 29% 43%
Woodlands Primary 0% 43%
Evergreen Primary 0% 43%
Jurong Primary 0% 43%
Poi Ching 8% 43%
St Joseph’s Institution Junior 28% 43%
Keming Primary 1% 42%
Edgefield Primary 0% 42%
Jiemin Primary 0% 42%
Jurong West Primary 0% 42%
North Vista Primary 0% 42%
Ngee Ann Primary 5% 41%
Sengkang Green Primary 0% 41%
Woodgrove Primary 0% 41%
Anderson Primary 2% 40%
Princess Elizabeth Primary 0% 40%
Rivervale Primary 0% 40%
Woodlands Ring Primary 0% 40%
Zhangde Primary 0% 40%
Holy Innocents’ Primary 6% 40%
Greendale Primary 0% 40%
Northland Primary 0% 40%
Zhenghua Primary 0% 40%
Huamin Primary 0% 39%
De La Salle 2% 39%
Compassvale Primary 0% 39%
Greenridge Primary 0% 39%
Unity Primary 0% 39%
Elias Park Primary 0% 39%
Kuo Chuan Presbyterian Primary 2% 39%
Qihua Primary 0% 39%
Tanjong Katong Primary 0% 39%
Bukit View Primary 0% 38%
Gan Eng Seng Primary 0% 38%
Tampines Primary 0% 38%
Beacon Primary 0% 38%
Wellington Primary 0% 38%
Westwood Primary 0% 38%
East Spring Primary 0% 37%
Yangzheng Primary 1% 37%
Mayflower Primary 0% 37%
Hougang Primary 0% 37%
Geylang Methodist School 1% 37%
Paya Lebar Methodist Girls’ 17% 36%
Frontier Primary 0% 36%
Yumin Primary 0% 36%
Pei Tong Primary 2% 36%
Fuchun Primary 0% 36%
Punggol Primary 0% 36%
Telok Kurau Primary 0% 36%
Casuarina Primary 0% 36%
North View Primary 0% 36%
Chua Chu Kang Primary 0% 35%
Clementi Primary 0% 35%
Qifa Primary 0% 35%
Shuqun Primary 1% 35%
Opera Estate Primary 0% 35%
Fuhua Primary 0% 35%
Cantonment Primary 0% 34%
Junyuan Primary 0% 34%
New Town Primary 0% 34%
Palm View Primary 0% 34%
Peiying Primary 0% 34%
Greenwood Primary 0% 34%
St Andrew’s Junior 14% 34%
Concord Primary 0% 33%
Bedok Green Primary 0% 33%
Seng Kang Primary 1% 33%
Fernvale Primary 1% 33%
Punggol View Primary 0% 33%
Teck Ghee Primary 0% 33%
Xingnan Primary 2% 32%
Zhonghua Primary 0% 32%
Boon Lay Garden Primary 0% 31%
CHIJ (Katong) Primary 7% 31%
Ahmad Ibrahim Primary 0% 31%
Tampines North Primary 0% 31%
Pioneer Primary 1% 31%
Stamford Primary 0% 31%
Bukit Timah Primary 0% 31%
Changkat Primary 0% 31%
Townsville Primary 0% 30%
Anchor Green Primary 0% 30%
Cedar Primary 2% 30%
Lianhua Primary 0% 30%
Meridien Primary 0% 30%
Teck Whye Primary 0% 30%
Ang Mo Kio Primary 0% 30%
CHIJ Our Lady of Good Counsel 0% 29%
Si Ling Primary 0% 29%
Riverside Primary 0% 29%
West View Primary 2% 28%
Yio Chu Kang Primary 0% 28%
St Anthony’s Canossian Primary 3% 28%
Jing Shan Primary 0% 28%
CHIJ Our Lady Queen of Peace 0% 27%
Xishan Primary 0% 27%
Yishun Primary 0% 27%
Loyang Primary 0% 27%
CHIJ (Kellock) 0% 27%
Naval Base Primary 0% 26%
Damai Primary 0% 26%
Springdale Primary 0% 26%
CHIJ Our Lady of the Nativity 0% 25%
North Spring Primary 1% 25%
Alexandra Primary 0% 25%
Haig Girls’ 1% 25%
Park View Primary 0% 24%
Sembawang Primary 1% 24%
Yuhua Primary 0% 24%
Marsiling Primary 0% 24%
Queenstown Primary 0% 23%
Punggol Green Primary 0% 23%
St Margaret’s Primary 5% 22%
St Stephen’s 0% 22%
Dazhong Primary 0% 22%
Bendemeer Primary 0% 21%
Da Qiao Primary 0% 21%
East Coast Primary 0% 21%
Juying Primary 0% 20%
Kranji Primary 0% 20%
Marymount Convent 1% 20%
St Gabriel’s Primary 6% 20%
Angsana Primary 0% 19%
Blangah Rise Primary 2% 19%
Xinghua Primary 0% 19%
Coral Primary 0% 18%
West Spring Primary 0% 18%
Eunos Primary 0% 17%
Northoaks Primary 0% 17%
Guangyang Primary 0% 17%
East View Primary 0% 16%
First Toa Payoh Primary 1% 16%
Canossa Convent Primary 0% 15%
Montfort Junior 0% 15%
Balestier Hill Primary 0% 13%
MacPherson Primary 0% 13%
Farrer Park Primary 0% 11%
Oasis Primary School 0% 0%
Punggol Cove Primary 0% 0%
Waterway Primary 0% 0%

Updated 4 July 2015:  Predictions

To understand the risk of any school balloting in Phase 2A(1), we have done an analysis of the 2015 Phase 1 take-up rate (TUR) versus the historical demand in 2014.

The good news is, if the demand does not change, no school has any shortfall in accommodating all applicants in Phase 2A(1).  The caveat is, many parents have already joined the schools’ alumni to qualify for Phase 2A(1) since the 40 reserved places rule was implemented last year, so we can expect an increase in the 2015 TUR for Phase 2A(1) for the very popular schools.  The school with the highest risk of that happening is CHIJ St. Nicholas Girls.

What is clear, from our analysis, is that there will very likely be oversubscription in Phase 2A(2) for a handful of schools.

The table below shows the schools with the greatest shortfall in places in Phase 2A(2).  With the exception of Radin Mas, 4 of the 5 schools that had to go through balloting in Phase 2A(2) last year show an even greater shortfall this year in places.

Nanyang Primary, which escaped balloting in Phase 2A(2) last year, has a shortfall of 9 places, while other schools such as Ai Tong, Catholic High, and Rulang have less than 5 places left.

Hence it is likely that we will see an increase in the number of schools going for balloting in Phase 2A(2) this year.

School P2A(1) P2A(2)
2015 Places 2014 Applicants Remain 2014 Applicants Shortfall
Nan Hua Primary 79 41 38 55 -17
CHIJ St Nicholas Girls’ 92 84 8 24 -16
Henry Park Primary 116 70 46 59 -13
Nanyang Primary 145 85 60 69 -9
Yu Neng Primary 61 5 56 62 -6
Ai Tong 131 82 49 49 0
Catholic High 127 99 28 24 4
Rulang Primary 96 23 73 68 5
Methodist Girls’ School (Primary) 90 60 30 21 9
Fairfield Methodist Primary 106 35 71 58 13
Red Swastika 97 35 62 48 14
Anglo-Chinese School (Primary) 138 77 61 44 17
Temasek Primary 91 19 72 55 17
Xinmin Primary 73 0 73 56 17
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Clear and detailed!

The analysis is very good! Thank you for taking time to write all these.

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