(a) For a child whose parent is a former student of the primary school and who has joined the alumni association as a member not later than 30 June 2014.
(b) For a child whose parent is a member of the School Advisory / Management Committee
Announcement of Results:
By Thursday, 9 July 2015
Updated 8 July 2015: Analysis
At the end of Phase 2A(1) 2015, the big news is that CHIJ St Nicholas Girls’ is the first to require balloting for children staying outside of 2km, for the first time since the Phase 2A was split into (1) and (2) in 1999.
In truth, this was not entirely unexpected given the situation last year. SNGS has a very strong alumni, and is a full school which means that parents who studied in the Secondary school are also accorded alumni status. At the same time, the in-take (210) for SNGS is much smaller compared to other popular schools such as NYPS (390) and Henry Park (300).
Knowing this doesn’t make it easier for parents who had to ballot for the places in Phase 2A(1) this year, but it serves notice to future parents who might be alumni of SNGS: join the schools’ Alumni, or you may not even be able to participate in Phase 2A.
Things were not as eventful for other schools, particularly NYPS where the Phase 2A(1) TUR did not exceed 100.
All in all, 20 school now has less than 50% of their places left for other Phases. However, the Phase 2A(2) situation now looks pretty dire for a handful of schools at the top of the list below.
Updated 4 July 2015: Predictions
To understand the risk of any school balloting in Phase 2A(1), we have done an analysis of the 2015 Phase 1 take-up rate (TUR) versus the historical demand in 2014.
The good news is, if the demand does not change, no school has any shortfall in accommodating all applicants in Phase 2A(1). The caveat is, many parents have already joined the schools’ alumni to qualify for Phase 2A(1) since the 40 reserved places rule was implemented last year, so we can expect an increase in the 2015 TUR for Phase 2A(1) for the very popular schools. The school with the highest risk of that happening is CHIJ St. Nicholas Girls.
What is clear, from our analysis, is that there will very likely be oversubscription in Phase 2A(2) for a handful of schools.
The table below shows the schools with the greatest shortfall in places in Phase 2A(2). With the exception of Radin Mas, 4 of the 5 schools that had to go through balloting in Phase 2A(2) last year show an even greater shortfall this year in places.
Nanyang Primary, which escaped balloting in Phase 2A(2) last year, has a shortfall of 9 places, while other schools such as Ai Tong, Catholic High, and Rulang have less than 5 places left.
Hence it is likely that we will see an increase in the number of schools going for balloting in Phase 2A(2) this year.