a) For a child whose parent is a former student of the school and who has joined the alumni association as a member not later than 30 Jun 2010
b) For a child whose parent is a member of the School Advisory / Management Committee
Announcement of Results:
Thursday 7 July 2011
Details: Click here
Results: Click here
Post mortem: Click here
2011 Phase 1 results are out! We have compiled the results in descending order of the Take Up Rate (TUR) so far, along with ballot risk in Phases 2B and 2C.
The Phase 1 TUR is of particular interest because it reflects the confidence level that parents have in the school to want to send another of the children to the same school. An increase compared with the historical and 2010 performance indicates strong and consistent support from parents, while a decrease in both indicators tells the reverse story.
Greenwood Primary leads the pack, but it is Rosyth that draws our attention. A resounding 56% of the places have been taken up, with a high 9% increase over the historical average. It is safe to say that thanks to its great performance in PSLE last year, Rosyth will most likely feature ballots within 1km for Phase 2C.
Endeavour has also done remarkably well, with a 37% increase on its historical average. Definitely not bad for a 3 year old school. And so have Beacon and Innova, which are also new schools.
Bukit Panjang’s stock has dropped 7% over the historical average, although it has done marginally better compared to last year. Gongshang has worsened (-8% over historical average, and -12% compared with last year).
The most severe drop is Compassvale, losing 20% on the historical average and 16% compared to last year.
The Ballot Risk column is based on a statistical analysis of historical data. It is computed through a weighted average of actual ballot situations happening between 2006 and 2010, ie. if a school had a ballot at <1km last year, it increases the risk more significantly than if it happened 5 years ago. It is by no means a guaranteed measure. The risk ranges from 0.0 to 1.0, where 0.0 represents very low risk of balloting or cut-off at the given Phase, while 1.0 represents a very high risk of balloting or cut-off. The Color coding provides an approximation of the distance at which the balloting could appear. The Ballot risk does NOT take into account the increase or decrease of the TUR compared with the historical average. You have to assess for yourself how the changes this year may affect the actual situation, which is why we have published all 3 figures.