For a child who is ineligible for or unsuccessful in earlier phases.
Registration: Monday 2nd August 2010, Tuesday 3rd August 2010 and Wednesday 4th August 2010
Announcement of Result: By Friday 13th August 2010
Update: 27 July 2010
Updated 9 Aug 2010. Phase 2C is completed. 2010 has been a most competitive year where over 80 schools require balloting in Phase 2C, most within 1km!
The final chart now allows us to compare the effectiveness of using historical data for estimating the chances of balloting in a school. As we can see, almost all those with a rating of 1.0 ended up in balloting with 1km. The only exception was Temasek Primary, but registrant hopefuls’ fates were not much better there – there was a cut off at 1km, which means that no one above 1km was registered in Phase 2C for 2010, even though there was no balloting.
For the magenta group the projections were more or less accurate. There were 2 clear outlyers:
– Woodgrove Primary (No balloting required, but final TUR at 99%!)
– Woodlands Ring Primary (Balloting for >2km instead of the usual <2km)
For the yellow group, things were less clear. We have a number of schools going into <1km balloting:
– Yew Tee
– River Valley
– Raffles Girls’
We also have a couple of schools in this group escaping balloting this year:
– CHIJ OLQP
– CHIJ Kellock
Finally, for the green group, 8 schools escaped balloting, while 3 schools went into <1km balloting which was uncharacteristics of these schools. The accuracy of the projection is only 4 out of 17.
From this, we can safely say that it is much easier to predict the schools that will be going into <1km balloting than others.
Ballot History (2006-2009) in Phase 2C
Chance of balloting in Phase 2C for under 1km is VERY HIGH. No chance for anyone who is outside of 1km
From 0.75 – 0.96 (MAGENTA)
Chance of balloting in Phase 2C for under 1km is HIGH. Small chance for anyone who is between 1-2km. No chance for anyone staying beyond 2km to participate in the balloting.
From 0.38 and 0.67 (YELLOW)
Chance of balloting in Phase 2C for between 1km-2km is HIGH. Great for those staying within 1km because they may not need to ballot. A little chance for those staying outside of 2km to participate in the balloting.
Chance of balloting in Phase 2C for above 2km is HIGH. Great for those staying within 2km because they may not need to ballot. Those staying above 2km may have to ballot.
Schools ranked higher in the group has a higher probability for the group’s stated outcome.
If the school is not listed here, it means it has not undergone balloting for the last 4 years in Phase 2C.
These measures are purely indicative. KiasuParents.com takes no responsibility for the actual outcomes of Phase 2C. Please use this table with caution.