Will COPs of Most Sch @ Range Between 220~230 Drop For 2010

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Will COPs of Most Sch @ Range Between 220~230 Drop For 2010

Postby somehow kiasu » Wed Dec 01, 2010 12:04 am

:? Will COPs of most schools @ range btw 220~230 also drop for coming year of 2010 due to nearly 4000 fewer students registered for S1 posting?

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Re: Will COPs of Most Sch @ Range Between 220~230 Drop For 2

Postby desichan352 » Wed Dec 01, 2010 10:45 am

somehow kiasu wrote::? Will COPs of most schools @ range btw 220~230 also drop for coming year of 2010 due to nearly 4000 fewer students registered for S1 posting?


It might drop, but i don't think it is due to nearly 4000 fewer students. Since there are 4000 fewer students, MOE should have changed to vacancies of each school evenly fewer, it can't be that some school have lots of pupils while another has very little students. Hope I've helped and good luck! ^^

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Will COPs of Most Sch @ Range Between 220~230 Drop For 2010

Postby kopitea » Wed Dec 08, 2010 8:43 am

Fewer Students in 2011 = Lower Demand = More Vacancies = Lower COP. Logical! :celebrate:

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Postby autolycus » Wed Dec 08, 2010 8:57 am

It should depend on what t-scores those fewer students scored, not on how many there are... Besides, it's not MOE who decides how many classes a school puts up.

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Postby kiasuest2 » Wed Dec 08, 2010 9:12 am

autolycus wrote:It should depend on what t-scores those fewer students scored, not on how many there are... Besides, it's not MOE who decides how many classes a school puts up.


I agree with autolycus; the COP is based off the T-score obtained by the pupils.

Given the same number of vacancies (don't believe that any school will reduce the number of places just because of a drop in the cohort) the cohort with a higher T-score will result in a higher COP and vice versa.

If the scores of the top pupils are anything to go by, I believe that generally the T-score may be lower than last year's

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Postby Victboy » Sat Dec 11, 2010 11:27 am

I think basically IP Schools will go up but neighbourhood schools will go down. Majority 26x and above will go to IP Schools this will bring up their COP.

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Postby autolycus » Sat Dec 11, 2010 6:42 pm

Logically, if the papers get easier every year, the distribution will eventually narrow and the raw scores will go up. The grades will converge to some high value. It will look like a one-tailed distribution, almost.

If the papers get harder every year, then the distribution will become broader (which is a good thing) but raw scores will go down. The grades will converge to a lower value, but the behaviour will be more like a Normal distribution.

The best thing really is to have papers that vary a lot in difficulty every year. Then COPs and all will have little predictive power and the only thing that will matter is how well you did compared to your own cohort.

This will make it less of a stock exchange. Then again, not everyone will appreciate the increase in 'fear factor'.

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