2021 PSLE Discussions and Strategies (Children born in 2009)

[SG_KP1]

If that's the case, then #2 and #3 should be omitted because it serves no purpose to increase the odds or offer any gratification. So won't it be better to have #4 as #2 instead. At least it will increase the odds if #4 ALX+1 becomes ALX

For the part in bold, that's what I originally wrote. At AL7 something, I'd go for HCI first choice and then any number of SAP schools following that (all of which are higher than AL7). The direct reply to the post was to skip HCI (which I continued to disagree with) as some other school with the same ALX COP would offer better odds.

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/foru ... 9#p2053249

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/foru ... 1#p2053261

As for skipping #2 and #3 altogether, I would still suggest Option A over Option B if someone likes #2 and #3 slightly more than #4 (i.e. scenario described here):

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/foru ... 3#p2053383

Option A:
#1. ALX - low odds (say 10% simply for illustrative purpose).
#2. ALX - 2nd choice very very low odds, likely 0% but possibly 0.01% if lucky
#3. ALX - 3rd choice very very low odds, likely 0% but possibly 0.01% if lucky
#4. ALX+1 - roughly 100% - 10% - 0.01% - 0.01% = 89.98%

Option B:
#1. ALX - low odds (say 10% simply for illustrative purpose).
#2. ALX+1 - roughly 100% - 10% = 90%

What's the risk to Option A? As you've mentioned, #4 could drop from ALX+1 to ALX, in which case second choice may have some chance vs forth choice likely no chance. But if #4 and #5 (ALX+2) are basically the same to me I think the risk (#4 drops to ALX) and reward (somehow get lucky on #2 or #3) is balance. You could disagree here and if it is shown that year after year #2 and #3 are always 0%, then I would go with Option B.

Again, Merry Christmas!!!!!

[Liew Nga Wing]

Since the S1 posting is already out, it is useless to talk about anything AFTER the fact. Any insistence on one being right or wrong only serves to feed one’s ego with no actual help. My wish this Christmas is for all parents to do what’s best for their children and being able to support their learning journey. There is no point insisting one is correct if one is not open to learn from others. Always remember, if others are willing to point out your mistake or misconception, they are doing u a favour. If an adult do not want to learn, no one can stop u.

Ok, let's make it easy, both SG KP1 and Veryon are correct because they have their own thinking and beliefs and all the mistakes are in me (Liew Nga Wing) and so if anyone want to point finger on the "mistake person", please point to me and I apologise my mistakes to all.

We can disagree with other beliefs but we cannot force them to give up their beliefs.

Once again, please blame all the mistakes to me not anyone in this forum.

[Veyron]

For the part in bold, that's what I originally wrote. At AL7 something, I'd go for HCI first choice and then any number of SAP schools following that (all of which are higher than AL7). The direct reply to the post was to skip HCI (which I continued to disagree with) as some other school with the same ALX COP would offer better odds.

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/foru ... 9#p2053249

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/foru ... 1#p2053261

As for skipping #2 and #3 altogether, I would still suggest Option A over Option B if someone likes #2 and #3 slightly more than #4 (i.e. scenario described here):

https://www.kiasuparents.com/kiasu/foru ... 3#p2053383

Option A:
#1. ALX - low odds (say 10% simply for illustrative purpose).
#2. ALX - 2nd choice very very low odds, likely 0% but possibly 0.01% if lucky
#3. ALX - 3rd choice very very low odds, likely 0% but possibly 0.01% if lucky
#4. ALX+1 - roughly 100% - 10% - 0.01% - 0.01% = 89.98%

Option B:
#1. ALX - low odds (say 10% simply for illustrative purpose).
#2. ALX+1 - roughly 100% - 10% = 90%

What's the risk to Option A? As you've mentioned, #4 could drop from ALX+1 to ALX, in which case second choice may have some chance vs forth choice likely no chance. But if #4 and #5 (ALX+2) are basically the same to me I think the risk (#4 drops to ALX) and reward (somehow get lucky on #2 or #3) is balance. You could disagree here and if it is shown that year after year #2 and #3 are always 0%, then I would go with Option B.

Again, Merry Christmas!!!!!

The original intent of our discussion is to evaluate if its wise to put a 3 AL7 COP school as #1 #2 #3 without considering which AL7 school has got a higher chance. For this case I am sure the natural order will be HCI ACSI and NJC.

Like I said, if #2 and #3 to you serve no purpose or value, why dont you just put your #4 choice as #2 instead?

[ChiefKiasu]

This thread has run its course and serves no other purpose. I am closing the thread permanently.