Jurong West Phase 2A Projections
Submitted by Chief Kiasu
This week, we look at the neighbour of Jurong East, which is Jurong West. This area has several more schools.
- We added the application rates for Phase 2A(1) + Phase 2A(2) simulating Phase 2A.
This is the number of people that applied for the phases. - We subtract 20 places from Phase 2A.
- We then divided the application rate by the resulting number of places.
ie. intensity = application rate/number of places - We repeated the same process for the last 5 years.
- Finally, we sort the results according to the school with the highest application rate in 2021.
From our simulation, it appears that 4 schools would have exceeded their Phase 2A in-take. Frontier Primary and Rulang Primary leads the pack. Frontier is hot primarily because of location and small cohort size, while Rulang, well, it is one of the premier schools in Singapore. I’m sure, this year, both schools will require some intense balloting in Phase 2A.
Westwood Primary and Shuqun Primary may require balloting in Phase 2A, although quite marginally. Westwood is actually a relatively new school started in 2012, but its Phase 2A2 applications has been growing exponentially to 106 last year! As for Shuqun, it has one of the lowest cohort size of 200 places in Jurong West, so it is not really surprising that it might require a bit of balloting in Phase 2A. Let’s hope MOE can increase its cohort size this year.
The other schools in Jurong West should be relatively safe from balloting in Phase 2A. Boon Lay Garden Primary only has 5% application rate last year, while Xingnan Primary has 73% application rate in 2017, the highest rate amongst the rest of the schools in the last 5 years.
