This week, we will start looking at schools in Pasir Ris.  The schools in this estate are kind of small, all having 190 or less places in last year’s registration.

• We added the application rates for Phase 2A(1) + Phase 2A(2) simulating Phase 2A.
  This is the number of people that applied for the phases.
• We subtract 20 places from Phase 2A.
• We then divided the application rate by the resulting number of places.
  ie. intensity = application rate/number of places
• We repeated the same process for the last 5 years.
• Finally, we sort the results according to the school with the highest application rate in 2021.

In terms of potential Phase 2A balloting, Pasir Ris Primary is certainly quite threatening.  Interest in the school has been growing steadily, and since 2020, it appeared to be slightly overbooked by 14% to 15%.  The good news is that this is quite mild, and will likely affect those staying more than 2km away.

The other schools does not appear to be in danger of encountering any balloting.  The highest take up rate was 57.7% White Sands Primary in 2018, probably due to kids in the Dragon year effect.  The next highest is Casuarina Primary, which as about 56.8% last year in 2021.  So, parents going for these schools in Phase 2A should heave collective sighs of relief :).

Punggol Phase 2A Projections