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2022 P1 Registration Risk

A levels

There is a great deal of change for P1 Registration next year in 2022.  As a result, we cannot provide an accurate estimation if you are still able to ballot at a certain distance, but nevertheless, we know which schools are most likely to require balloting.

The changes to the system involves the earlier phases, where 20 places have been taken away to be given to Phase 2C.  So Phase 2C will now have at least 40 places.  We do not know whether parents who missed out in the earlier phases will join Phase 2C balloting which intensifies balloting at certain schkools.  Or if they will give up and just go to other schools which will then lower the intensity of competition at those schools.

In the chart below, we have the schools listed in their DPG area, sorted by the level of risk of SOME bidding.  We are not using the usual colour mapping to highlight the chance of bidding <1km or >2km as we will be guessing.  But we anticipate intense bidding at the lower Phase 2A bidding due to the smaller pool of vacancies.

How to read the chart

The numbers all range from 0 to 1, with 1 being the school with the most intense bidding in the last 14 years (from 2008).  We have given the more recent years higher weightage.  When lumping 2A(1) and 2A(2), we have given 2A(1) and higher weight of 5 before adding to 2A(2) to get the final prediction for 2A.

The numbers can be very ROUGHLY estimated as follows:

No highlight or 0.0: Unlikely to require balloting at all

<= 0.1: Likely to ballot outside of 2km

<= 0.2: Likely to ballot between 1 and 2km

> 0.3: Likely to ballot with 1km

The school with 1.0 is the one that is most likely to ballot within 1km.

For certain schools like Townsville Primary in Ang Mo Kio, the entry is highlighted for Phase 2C even when the value is 0.00 because there was some oversubscription a long time ago, but the score is very small, below 0.00.  We still highlight these schools although they are highly unlikely to require balloting.

Area

School

2021 Probability of Balloting

2A

2B

2C

2C(S)

Ang Mo Kio

CHIJ St Nicholas Girls’

0.83

0.98

0.51

0.00

Ang Mo Kio

Anderson Primary

0.00

0.00

0.30

0.00

Ang Mo Kio

Teck Ghee Primary

0.00

0.00

0.16

0.10

Ang Mo Kio

Jing Shan Primary

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.06

Ang Mo Kio

Mayflower Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.03

Ang Mo Kio

Ang Mo Kio Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.01

Ang Mo Kio

Townsville Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Bedok

Temasek Primary

0.56

0.13

0.57

0.00

Bedok

Red Swastika

0.49

0.10

0.57

0.00

Bedok

Yu Neng Primary

0.13

0.04

0.40

0.00

Bedok

St Stephen’s

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.09

Bedok

CHIJ (Katong) Primary

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.21

Bedok

Fengshan Primary

0.00

0.00

0.19

0.10

Bedok

Telok Kurau Primary

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.01

Bedok

Opera Estate Primary

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.11

Bedok

St Anthony’s Canossian Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.05

Bedok

Bedok Green Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.12

Bedok

Damai Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Bishan

Catholic High

0.74

0.96

0.53

0.00

Bishan

Ai Tong

0.44

0.87

0.63

0.00

Bishan

Kuo Chuan Presbyterian Primary

0.00

0.11

0.23

0.00

Bukit Batok

Princess Elizabeth Primary

0.08

0.00

0.66

0.00

Bukit Batok

St Anthony’s Primary

0.00

0.00

0.34

0.00

Bukit Batok

Keming Primary

0.00

0.00

0.40

0.00

Bukit Batok

Dazhong Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.45

Bukit Batok

Bukit View Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.07

Bukit Batok

Lianhua Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.01

Bukit Merah

Radin Mas Primary

0.20

0.06

0.46

0.00

Bukit Merah

Alexandra Primary

0.00

0.00

0.47

0.00

Bukit Merah

Zhangde Primary

0.00

0.00

0.13

0.08

Bukit Merah

CHIJ (Kellock)

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.40

Bukit Merah

Gan Eng Seng Primary

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.03

Bukit Merah

Cantonment Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.04

Bukit Merah

Blangah Rise Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Bukit Panjang

Bukit Panjang Primary

0.00

0.01

0.32

0.00

Bukit Panjang

West Spring Primary

0.00

0.00

0.61

0.00

Bukit Panjang

Greenridge Primary

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.05

Bukit Panjang

Beacon Primary

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.00

Bukit Panjang

CHIJ Our Lady Queen of Peace

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.18

Bukit Panjang

Zhenghua Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.25

Bukit Panjang

West View Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Bukit Timah

Nanyang Primary

1.00

0.80

0.58

0.00

Bukit Timah

Pei Hwa Presbyterian Primary

0.37

0.52

0.45

0.00

Bukit Timah

Henry Park Primary

0.34

0.23

0.54

0.00

Bukit Timah

Methodist Girls’ School (Primary)

0.00

0.88

0.34

0.00

Bukit Timah

Raffles Girls’ Primary

0.00

0.01

0.27

0.00

Bukit Timah

Bukit Timah Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.23

Central

Anglo-Chinese School (Junior)

0.00

0.74

0.32

0.00

Central

River Valley Primary

0.00

0.03

0.28

0.00

Central

St Margaret’s Primary

0.00

0.00

0.10

0.05

Choa Chu Kang

South View Primary

0.13

0.13

0.91

0.00

Choa Chu Kang

De La Salle

0.00

0.01

0.13

0.39

Choa Chu Kang

Chua Chu Kang Primary

0.00

0.00

0.29

0.04

Choa Chu Kang

Concord Primary

0.00

0.00

0.06

1.00

Choa Chu Kang

Yew Tee Primary

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.08

Choa Chu Kang

Unity Primary

0.00

0.00

0.03

0.06

Choa Chu Kang

Kranji Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Choa Chu Kang

Teck Whye Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Clementi

Nan Hua Primary

0.92

0.49

1.00

0.00

Clementi

Qifa Primary

0.00

0.00

0.15

0.07

Clementi

Clementi Primary

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.48

Clementi

Pei Tong Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.07

Geylang

Kong Hwa

0.00

0.37

0.41

0.00

Geylang

Maha Bodhi

0.00

0.21

0.30

0.00

Geylang

Haig Girls’

0.00

0.00

0.07

0.04

Geylang

Geylang Methodist School

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.17

Geylang

Canossa Convent Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.28

Hougang

Holy Innocents’ Primary

0.09

0.57

0.40

0.04

Hougang

Paya Lebar Methodist Girls’

0.00

0.02

0.28

0.00

Hougang

Hougang Primary

0.00

0.00

0.31

0.00

Hougang

Xinmin Primary

0.00

0.00

0.28

0.00

Hougang

CHIJ Our Lady of the Nativity

0.00

0.00

0.17

0.00

Hougang

Punggol Primary

0.00

0.00

0.16

0.05

Hougang

Montfort Junior

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.12

Hougang

Yio Chu Kang Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.01

Hougang

Xinghua Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Jurong East

Jurong Primary

0.00

0.00

0.14

0.38

Jurong East

Fuhua Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.29

Jurong East

Yuhua Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Jurong West

Rulang Primary

0.48

0.48

0.83

0.00

Jurong West

Frontier Primary

0.18

0.09

0.52

0.00

Jurong West

Westwood Primary

0.08

0.00

0.61

0.00

Jurong West

West Grove Primary

0.00

0.02

0.26

0.06

Jurong West

Shuqun Primary

0.00

0.00

0.38

0.00

Jurong West

Jurong West Primary

0.00

0.00

0.22

0.09

Jurong West

Lakeside Primary

0.00

0.00

0.16

0.02

Jurong West

Xingnan Primary

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.24

Jurong West

Corporation Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.08

Jurong West

Boon Lay Garden Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Kallang

Hong Wen

0.00

0.15

0.49

0.00

Kallang

Bendemeer Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.05

Kallang

Farrer Park Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Marine Parade

Tao Nan

0.08

1.00

0.46

0.00

Marine Parade

Ngee Ann Primary

0.00

0.00

0.13

0.15

Marine Parade

Tanjong Katong Primary

0.00

0.00

0.08

0.15

Novena

Anglo-Chinese School (Primary)

0.11

0.81

0.36

0.00

Novena

St Joseph’s Institution Junior

0.00

0.54

0.29

0.00

Novena

Singapore Chinese Girls’ Primary

0.00

0.22

0.36

0.00

Pasir Ris

Pasir Ris Primary

0.00

0.05

0.40

0.00

Pasir Ris

White Sands Primary

0.00

0.00

0.29

0.00

Pasir Ris

Elias Park Primary

0.00

0.00

0.15

0.00

Pasir Ris

Casuarina Primary

0.00

0.00

0.03

0.30

Pasir Ris

Park View Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.05

Pasir Ris

Meridien Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Punggol

Horizon Primary

0.22

0.00

0.48

0.01

Punggol

Punggol Green Primary

0.15

0.00

0.63

0.00

Punggol

Mee Toh

0.00

0.03

0.44

0.00

Punggol

Waterway Primary

0.00

0.00

0.26

0.09

Punggol

Oasis Primary

0.00

0.00

0.23

0.00

Punggol

Punggol View Primary

0.00

0.00

0.22

0.40

Punggol

Valour Primary

0.00

0.00

0.21

0.70

Punggol

Edgefield Primary

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.29

Punggol

Punggol Cove Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.86

Punggol

Greendale Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.10

Punggol

Northshore Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Queenstown

Fairfield Methodist Primary

0.00

0.73

0.47

0.00

Queenstown

Queenstown Primary

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.10

Queenstown

New Town Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.01

Sembawang

Canberra Primary

0.00

0.43

0.45

0.00

Sembawang

Endeavour Primary

0.00

0.00

0.10

0.03

Sembawang

Wellington Primary

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.05

Sembawang

Sembawang Primary

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.04

Sembawang

Northoaks Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Seng Kang

Nan Chiau Primary

0.00

0.63

0.79

0.00

Seng Kang

Sengkang Green Primary

0.00

0.00

0.75

0.00

Seng Kang

Rivervale Primary

0.00

0.00

0.38

0.00

Seng Kang

Compassvale Primary

0.00

0.00

0.24

0.00

Seng Kang

Fern Green Primary

0.00

0.00

0.22

0.57

Seng Kang

Springdale Primary

0.00

0.00

0.16

0.96

Seng Kang

North Vista Primary

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.15

Seng Kang

Anchor Green Primary

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.34

Seng Kang

Palm View Primary

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.20

Seng Kang

Fernvale Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.23

Seng Kang

Seng Kang Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.04

Seng Kang

North Spring Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Serangoon

Rosyth

0.67

0.63

0.91

0.00

Serangoon

CHIJ Our Lady of Good Counsel

0.00

0.01

0.06

0.35

Serangoon

Yangzheng Primary

0.00

0.00

0.25

0.01

Serangoon

St Gabriel’s Primary

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.34

Serangoon

Zhonghua Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Tampines

Gongshang Primary

0.36

0.00

0.52

0.00

Tampines

St Hilda’s Primary

0.20

0.74

0.79

0.00

Tampines

Junyuan Primary

0.07

0.00

0.09

0.30

Tampines

Poi Ching

0.00

0.00

0.42

0.00

Tampines

Chongzheng Primary

0.00

0.00

0.34

0.00

Tampines

Tampines Primary

0.00

0.00

0.14

0.06

Tampines

East Spring Primary

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.02

Tampines

Changkat Primary

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.00

Tampines

Yumin Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.20

Tampines

Tampines North Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.18

Tampines

Angsana Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Toa Payoh

Pei Chun Public

0.22

0.45

0.45

0.00

Toa Payoh

CHIJ Primary (Toa Payoh)

0.00

0.64

0.32

0.00

Toa Payoh

Maris Stella High

0.00

0.43

0.27

0.00

Toa Payoh

St Andrew’s Junior

0.00

0.28

0.30

0.00

Toa Payoh

Kheng Cheng

0.00

0.00

0.16

0.09

Toa Payoh

Cedar Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.04

Toa Payoh

Marymount Convent

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.35

Toa Payoh

First Toa Payoh Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Woodlands

Admiralty Primary

0.00

0.08

0.35

0.00

Woodlands

Riverside Primary

0.00

0.00

0.42

0.04

Woodlands

Innova Primary

0.00

0.00

0.29

0.00

Woodlands

Woodlands Primary

0.00

0.00

0.16

0.06

Woodlands

Woodgrove Primary

0.00

0.00

0.13

0.10

Woodlands

Evergreen Primary

0.00

0.00

0.08

0.49

Woodlands

Fuchun Primary

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.00

Woodlands

Greenwood Primary

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.75

Woodlands

Woodlands Ring Primary

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.16

Woodlands

Qihua Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.06

Woodlands

Marsiling Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Woodlands

Si Ling Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Yishun

Chongfu Primary

0.00

0.40

0.59

0.00

Yishun

Northland Primary

0.00

0.11

0.93

0.00

Yishun

Huamin Primary

0.00

0.00

0.24

0.03

Yishun

Jiemin Primary

0.00

0.00

0.12

0.00

Yishun

North View Primary

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.55

Yishun

Naval Base Primary

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.28

Yishun

Yishun Primary

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.17

Yishun

Xishan Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.19

Yishun

Peiying Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.12

Yishun

Ahmad Ibrahim Primary

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

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